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What’s more, throughout the 2020 campaign, not a single poll showed Hunter’s Dad leading by fewer than 19 points.Thursday’s poll, which shows Biden up by only eight points in a state we’re told Biden won by 23 points four years ago, is a Siena poll, and…
This same pollster polled New York State in 2020 and, in its final election poll, showed Biden winning New York by 32 points — 61 to 29 percent. On Thursday, Siena showed Biden up 47 to 39 percent. In other words, Biden has lost 24 points in the same state, per the same pollster./Emerson poll, released at the end of May, had Biden up by only seven points in New York — 48 to 41 percent. The best lead Biden’s been able to poll in New York over the last eight months is 12 points.
What might drive the Biden campaign to make the humiliating move of defending New York with an ad buy or some such thing is concern over voter enthusiasm. If Trump makes a serious play for New York, with these polling numbers, the Biden campaign won’t be able to ignore it. That means campaigning. That means a negative news cycle about Team Biden forced to spend time in a state he should never have had to worry about. That is a win-win for Team Trump.
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