Oceanic and Atmospheric Research (OAR) - or NOAA Research - provides the research foundation for understanding the complex systems that support our planet.
NOAA teams up with Alaskans to create a new tool to predict ice breakupPeople of all ages gather on Kobuk Lake on May 23, 2025 to ice fish and visit with each other. Credit: NOAANOAA has joined with the Native Village of Kotzebue, Alaska, to create a new forecast model that will help predict the spring ice breakup on a major lake outside the village.
Tyler Kramer, a Kotzebue high school student, monitors the salinity of the water flowing into Kobuk Lake from the Chukchi Sea to assist with research for the ice breakup model. Photo credit: NOAA, there are no specialized forecast models for Alaskan lakes, even large ones like Kobuk Lake, which is fed by two rivers and influenced by tidal flow from the Chukchi Sea.
Unlike traditional ice models that treat ice as one continuous sheet, this new model will simulate how individual ice floes crack, move and pile up — complex processes that are key to predicting exactly when and where Kobuk Lake ice will break up. Left to right: Jiaxu Zhang, PMEL and University of Washington, Tyler Kramer, Native Village of Kotzebue, Zheng Liu, University of Washington, Alex Whiting, Native Village of Kotzebue Environmental Program Director. Credit: NOAA
The NOAA Twin Otter crew. Left to right: NOAA Corps LT Kyler W. Johnson, NOAA Corps Ensign Kieran Viggiano, Ron Pauley, NOAA Aerospace Engineer Technician, Jiaxu Zhang and Zheng Liu. Credit: NOAA
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