The county line takes center stage
The seat vacated by Rep. Andy Kim is the subject of a contested Democratic primary that could provide an early look into the impact of a new primary ballot design in the state. | Michael M. Santiago/Getty ImagesAfter a historic winter of court fights and boisterous party conventions, New Jersey voters will have their first chance to deliver an early verdict on the value of the state’s distinct ballot design known as the county line — for Democrats, at least.
The one exception was first lady Tammy Murphy, who entered the race in November banking on the state’s Democratic machine politics to carry her to victory in the primary. But Murphy misjudged the mood of the Democratic base, who rebelled against the party machines they associated with Menendez’s long tenure both as a senator and a political boss.
If Kim prevails in the primary, he’ll be the heavy favorite in the general election. Republicans have not won a U.S. Senate race in New Jersey since 1972. But Menendez’s decision to run for reelection as an independent could complicate Democrats’ chances by threatening to pull votes from Kim, especially in Menendez’s urban Hudson County base.It appears to be a long shot at best for Bob Menendez to survive politically as he faces 16 federal corruption charges.
Throughout the primary, Bhalla has connected Rob Menendez to his father, whose political career appears over — even as the senator toys with Bhalla’s team called these accusations false — blaming them on resolved payroll disputes and a disgruntled former employee — and said he has maintained high ethical standards.
Where Bashaw’s ads focus on criticizing President Joe Biden’s policies on issues like inflation and immigration, Serrano Glassner’s call out Bashaw for being anti-Trump and less conservative. Either candidate will have an uphill battle come November — first quarter campaign filings show Bashaw has a campaign war chest of $1.1 million, while Serrano Glassner has around $400,000. These both pale in comparison to Andy Kim’s nearly $7 million on hand.
Conaway was the early frontrunner since he won the party endorsement in county conventions by blowout margins across the district, which awarded the line.
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