Zachary Faria is a commentary writer for the Washington Examiner, focusing on politics and sports. He previously interned for the Washington Free Beacon. He is originally from California’s San Joaquin Valley and is a graduate of Clemson University.
Former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley appears to be gaining momentum to challenge Gov. Ron DeSantis as the top alternative to former President Donald Trump in the 2024 GOP primary. But a closer look at the polls shows that whatever Haley is doing is not going to lead to her winning the nomination and that DeSantis remains the only candidate positioned to challenge Trump.
Haley no doubt has a favorable position right now. Moderate New Hampshire is the second primary contest, and her home state of South Carolina is the third. She’s polling in second place in both behind Trump and ahead of DeSantis. Combine that with her taking over Sen. Tim Scott’s third-place numbers in Iowa, and you can see why there is so much talk of a Haley surge.
Quinnipiac’s poll highlights the reason clearly. DeSantis is rated favorable by 64% of Republicans, while Haley is rated favorable by 40%. Simply put, DeSantis is more popular among Republicans than Haley, but those same Republicans who like DeSantis are currently choosing Trump. Haley is not even on their radar, winning her own pocket of the party but offering no real threat to Trump going forward.
— DeSantis War Room 🐊 November 1, 2023 Despite Trump allies saying that the primary is over, this new ad buy spends 30 times more attacking DeSantis than Biden. https://t.co/1TqZydphWA — Fred Bauer October 30, 2023 With the primaries slowly approaching, we are facing the very real dilemma that Haley’s poll numbers in the early states justify her continued presence in the race but only serve to help Trump. Wish casting from some conservative pundits aside, there is no path for Haley to beat Trump. DeSantis is the only one who can pose the challenge, but Haley’s campaign is yet another hurdle on that increasingly treacherous path.
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