We ran 10,000 NFL season simulations using our supercomputer. The Buffalo Bills topped the list; the other New York teams? Not so much.
Our NFL supercomputer ran 10,000 full-season simulations. The Bills are Lombardi Trophy favorites, the Colts are surprise contenders – and New York is a disaster.From once-per-week football bloggers to former-players-turned-experts and everyone in-between, it seems that anyone with even a casual interest in the gridiron has thoughts on which team will win the Super Bowl.
And you can add Covers to the list, as we turned to our in-house supercomputer to produce a comprehensive set of projections aimed at determining who will hoist the Vince Lombardi Trophy at season's end. We ran 10,000 simulations of the 2025 NFL season and postseason; here's a detailed look at the results of our model:Here's a breakdown of the supercomputer results, with teams ranked from highest to lowest chance at winning the Super Bowl:Forget about the Bills' famous struggles to win their first-ever NFL championship: This might be the league's most complete team, and our supercomputer agrees. QB Josh Allen and Co. have a significant edge over the rest of the NFL when it comes to their chances of making the playoffs, advancing to the championship game, and winning the title. Like the Bills, the Ravens are perennial contenders thanks in large part to their own elite quarterback, Lamar Jackson. And while our supercomputer doesn't have the Ravens quite as high as the Bills, it wouldn't surprise anyone to see them as the AFC's representative at Super Bowl LX next February at Levi's Stadium.Our first true supercomputer surprise comes courtesy of the AFC South, where the selection of the Colts as division winners flies in the face of most predictions – including oddsmakers, most of whom have Indy as the No. 3 choice to win the division. However, the supercomputer doesn't like any AFC South team to do much in the postseason, so don't expect a deep run from any of those clubs if our simulations are to be believed.Imagine a scenario where the three best NFL teams all play in the same conference. That's how our supercomputer shaped this season's football landscape – and even more unfathomable is that the Chiefs – far and away the best team of the last decade – are considered the least likely of the three to reach the Super Bowl. Supercomputer Hate-orade alert!) edged out those dastardly Dallas Cowboys for the divisional crown in our supercomputer simulations. Unfortunately, we don't like you getting much farther than that – so it's probably a good idea to keep those expectations in check and not getThree teams have a legitimate shot at winning this division , and all three are among the favorites to win the NFC title. Our supercomputer was surprisingly bullish on the Packers, who have the fifth-best chances of winning the Super Bowl based on the 10,000 simulations we ran. Angry Lions fans, please form an orderly queue..) Sure, the Bucs are expected to win a perennially weak NFC South yet again, but they're also just the No. 8 favorite to represent the NFC in the Big Game according to the latest conference champion odds. And yet, our supercomputer likes them to do just that. The 49ers endured plenty of turmoil and turnover of late, but the supercomputer believes San Francisco will shake that all off en route to another NFC West crown. Still, this is a tough time to not be a truly top-flight NFC team, with the Eagles, Lions, Cowboys, Packers, Bucs and Vikings ready to make life miserable for their opponents.Escaping the Aaron Rodgers circus might be the best news the Jets receive this year. They have the fifth-worst betting odds to reach the Super Bowl – and our supercomputer is even more ruthless when it comes to their chances of success, ranking them second-last. In other words ... expect more of the same, Jets fans, and carry on as usual. The New Orleans Saints and Cleveland Browns have longer betting odds to win the Super Bowl – but when it comes to our 10,000 full-season simulations, no team is expected to fare worse than the New York Giants. The supercomputer has the G-Men as the only NFL team with a lower than 10% chance of even making the playoffs. That's dire. James Bisson is a contributing writer at Covers. He has been a writer, reporter and editor for more than 20 years, including a nine-year stint with The Canadian Press and more than five years at theScore. He has covered dozens of marquee events including the 2010 Winter Olympics, the 2006 Stanley Cup final and Wrestlemania 23, and his work has appeared in more than 200 publications, including the Los Angeles Times, the Guardian, Yahoo! Sports, the Toronto Star and The Globe and Mail. His book, “100 Greatest Canadian Sports Moments”, was a hardcover best-seller in Canada in 2008 and earned him appearances on CBC Radio and Canada AM. He has written more than 50 sportsbook reviews, more than 200 industry news articles, and dozens of other sportsbook-related content articles. A graduate of the broadcast journalism program at Ryerson University , James has been an avid bettor since the early 2000s, and cites bet365 as his favorite sports betting site due to its superior functionality and quick payouts. His biggest professional highlight: Covering Canada's first Olympic gold medal on home soil – and interviewing Bret Hart. Twice.Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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