NFL playoff predictions: Picks against the spread for Sunday, Monday Wild Card games

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NFL playoff predictions: Picks against the spread for Sunday, Monday Wild Card games
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Odds, picks, best bets and predictions for every game on Sunday and Monday of NFL Wild Card Weekend.

The teams split their two meetings in 2022 with the Bills winning by just three, 32-29, in Orchard Park on Dec. 18. Both of those games, however, featured Tua Tagovailoa at quarterback for Miami, the first of which being the infamous game when Tagovailoa staggered like a heavyweight in the 12th round.

Now the Dolphins are down to No. 3 QB Skylar Thompson, and even he is battling an ankle injury. This is a fairly low total for a Bills game, so I’m giving the Over a shot even though the Dolphins might not contribute much. Hoping we get a defensive or special teams score to help along the way.

That’s sort of the case here, as everyone and his brother seems to be picking the underdog Giants over the Vikings. Not going to lie, I’m a bit uneasy about that. We’ve been marveling all year about how the Vikings could have a negative point differential despite an excellent record. Somehow, 424 points for and 427 points against added up to 13-4, which means that except for a few blowout losses, the Vikings were winning all of the close games. Maybe how they got here isn’t such a bad thing.

I mentioned a coaching edge earlier for the Jaguars, and I perceive there’s an even bigger one here with Brian Daboll and Wink Martindale matching wits with Kevin O’Connell. I really believe Daboll will find the flaws in the Vikings’ 31st-ranked yardage defense and stay one step ahead of Minnesota’s adjustments. The results should be points and possession, letting Justin Jefferson and Dalvin Cook see the field as little as possible.

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