We put every first-overall NFL draft pick from 1979 to 2024 into eight tiers, from Kyler Murray to Keyshawn Johnson to Myles Garrett.
Mel Kiper has served as an NFL draft analyst for ESPN since 1984. He is a regular contributor on"SportsCenter," ESPN studio shows and ESPN Radio. He is the co-host of the. Some have been absolute home runs, some have been big-time letdowns and some are still making their cases. But how do they all compare against each other?going back to 1979. I broke them out from the elites to the busts, and while it's not a 1 to 46 ranking, I did try to slot them appropriately within each tier.
It's rare for an offensive lineman to go No. 1, but Pace was elite as a prospect and elite as an NFL player . His tape was pancake block after pancake block; I think there was one game where he had 10 of them. Pace dominated down to down, and he proved durable over 13 years in the pros, 12 of which came in St. Louis. He went to the Hall of Fame in 2016.
In six seasons in Atlanta, he threw 71 touchdown passes, ran for 21 more scores and went to three Pro Bowls. after displaying explosion and elusiveness in Oklahoma's wishbone offense. He was fearless, too, going up and over the top of the pile to pick up crucial first downs. If you had to create the perfect NFL pocket passer prospect, it would be Palmer. He had Aikman-esque arm strength, underrated mobility, physicality and really no red flags in his evaluation. I noted in my report that year that Palmer produced despite a tough schedule at USC; the Trojans played 11 bowl-caliber teams in his last season there. He became a solid starter in the pros, even throwing 32 touchdowns in his second season.
He helped Dallas to three Super Bowls and was a true presence in the middle of the defensive line for 10 pro seasons ., and he was the top quarterback on my board. I thought he had a lot of upside with Kliff Kingsbury in Arizona. Kingsbury is no longer there, but Murray continues to display the dynamic traits that made him the No. 1 pick. He's eighth in QBR this season , and his underrated arm has helped him to 102 TD passes and a 66.8% completion rate over six seasons.
George's 8.5 grade was my lowest ever for a No. 1 pick. I had him at No. 81 overall on the Big Board. Now, in hindsight, that was probably low, but I had a handful of quarterbacks ahead of him. George had a good arm and a sidearm delivery, and his game ran hot and cold. He stuck as a starter in the pros for a decade, playing for five teams, but lasted just four years in Indy.more than Bradford among the QBs. Clausen was a bust, but Bradford wasn't great, either.
Injuries were a massive part of why he didn't work out. He had knee and back issues starting in his rookie season. So while he ended up with just five sacks in 18 games over three seasons in Indianapolis , you have to wonder what could have been. Manning wasn't with the Chargers long. It was well-known that he didn't want to play in San Diego, and Giants GM Ernie Accorsiwithin an hour for the quarterback. If we were looking solely at what the player became, regardless of team, Manning would join his brother in the top tier. But we're looking at the pick itself, which means the focus is on the team that made it.Even though the Chargers never saw Manning suit up for them, they did get Rivers in the deal.
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