NFL Draft Day Predictor 2024: Forecasting Round 1, QB picks

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NFL Draft Day Predictor 2024: Forecasting Round 1, QB picks
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When will Daniels, Maye and McCarthy go? How about the receivers? We answer those questions, plus compile a fan-powered mock draft.

and team needs to forecast pick probabilities for prospects in the upcoming draft. In other words, we can get a look at the range of selection outcomes for the best players and the chance they will be available at specific slots.with the first overall pick, let's break down some key questions about the draft using the Draft Day Predictor. We'll look at who will go No.

McCarthy's most likely landing spot is No. 6, where he has a 31% chance to be selected. While there's plenty of speculation about trades at Nos. 4 and 5, McCarthy could fall right into the Giants' lap if one doesn't happen. Given the severity of its need, it's not out of the question for Buffalo to select a wide receiver with each of its top two picks. And there should be options at No. 60, too. Someone like Legette or Coleman could fall there, and there's a strong chance that one or more of Florida'sNo. 10, easily. This isn't a major surprise: Bowers to the Jets at 10 has a 33% shot of happening, a greater chance than at any other spot. The No.

While we mentioned that Corum had a very long shot to make the first round, his range of outcomes is massive -- the Draft Day Predictor doesn't give him a 50% chance to be off the board until pick No. 88 late in the third round. Instead, the running back with the best median outcome is Texas'is next, with a 50% chance to be gone by pick No. 79. Put it all together and late in Round 2 is a reasonable place to expect the first back to go.

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