The NFL season moves along to Week 4 while I'm wondering how it's almost 25% over already. I like to call September the discovery phase. It's the time for adjusting priors and gaining confidence over your understanding of the 2023 version of each team. That's why I call Week 4 the 'trap week.' Throughout the season, you will often hear discourse around the use of the term 'trap' in regard to games in which a team may lose focus due to scheduling or quality of opponent. This is something completely different. Anyone who bets the NFL consistently knows that Week 1 is packed with shocking results. Week 2 brings us back down to earth, so the third week produces a mental tiebreaker, tipping the scales on our newly formulated opinions. Just when we feel comfortable we know these teams, Week 4 can pull the rug out from right under us. Test your positions, but do it with a measured approach. After all, it's still the NFL, the most efficient betting market in all of sports.
San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey runs during an NFL football game against the New York Giants, Thursday, Sept. 21, 2023, in Santa Clara, Calif. The NFL season moves along to Week 4 while I’m wondering how it’s almost 25% over already. I like to call September the discovery phase. It’s the time for adjusting priors and gaining confidence over your understanding of the 2023 version of each team. That’s why I call Week 4 the “trap week.
It’s good to be aware of historical trends, but the foundation of your position should be based on the team's strengths and weaknesses. That led me to an intriguing game this week between the surprising Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers.
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NFL betting: Don't be afraid of laying a big number with the 49ersThe NFL season moves along to Week 4 while I'm wondering how it's almost 25% over already. I like to call September the discovery phase. It's the time for adjusting priors and gaining confidence over your understanding of the 2023 version of each team. That's why I call Week 4 the 'trap week.' Throughout the season, you will often hear discourse around the use of the term 'trap' in regard to games in which a team may lose focus due to scheduling or quality of opponent. This is something completely different. Anyone who bets the NFL consistently knows that Week 1 is packed with shocking results. Week 2 brings us back down to earth, so the third week produces a mental tiebreaker, tipping the scales on our newly formulated opinions. Just when we feel comfortable we know these teams, Week 4 can pull the rug out from right under us. Test your positions, but do it with a measured approach. After all, it's still the NFL, the most efficient betting market in all of sports.
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