Josh Inglis' NFL TD picks and best bets on NFL TD props for every NFL Week 12 game — plus our best NFL TD parlay!
Week 12 is shaping up as a prime spot for NFL touchdown props, and I’m feeling confident after a hot run — I’m currently up 24 units on the season. From red-zone vultures to goal-line workhorses, this week’s slate is full of players who could find the end zone multiple times.
Whether yourare chasing longshots or sticking to high-floor targets, there are plenty of angles to attack the TD markets this weekend.Offering competitive prices and a deep list of players available, find the end zone each week at the #1 place to bet touchdowns! Kicking off the Week 12 touchdown card with a long shot at Lambeau. I’ve seen enough of JJ McCarthy to avoid all Minnesota skill players against this defense, but Josh Whyle is a name I’m excited to take a swing on at this number.. He stole snaps from Luke Musgrave last week and scored on his only target. No Packers tight end had more than one catch, and the wide receiver room is crowded again with players returning. Add in the uncertainty around Josh Jacobs’ knee, and there may be a need for auxiliary help near the goal line. Whyle’s role is growing as he enters his third game with the team, and at this price, I’m comfortable throwing a full-unit dart.has hit the Over on his receiving yards in every game this season, and the last time bettors saw him, he led the Colts’ receivers in Berlin with 84 yards and a touchdown. Since returning to the lineup, Pierce has racked up 414 yards in five games. He’s not the same red-zone threat as Josh Downs , but Daniel Jones trusts him on deep, contested targets. The Chiefs are overvalued, and Pierce has taken over as the Colts’ WR1 and the No. 2 option behind Ty Warren. A yardage prop of 60.5 is too cheap for his current role. I’m playing this to +240.ran the most routes and played the most snaps among Bengals TEs in Week 11, and he caught more passes than any of their receivers. Since Mike Gesicki went down, Fant has posted two touchdowns and 14 catches over four games. The wrinkle is Gesicki’s return, as his practice window opened this week. Bringing him back now would be a bit rushed, and even if he’s activated, Fant has established a clear role with Joe Flacco — a quarterback Gesicki has played only two snaps with. Gesicki has just eight catches in six games, which makes an early position on Fant easier to justify. You can also wait for clarity, as Fant has closed around this price for a touchdown in four straight weeks. The Patriots are a Top-10 matchup for opposing TEs. The Joe Burrow news is a cherry on top. There aren’t many markets posted for this matchup, but Chicago’s passing game draws a great spot against a Pittsburgh defense that allows the most receiving yards to opposing wideouts.Odunze has scored in half his games this season and in three of four at home. The Steelers are missing four defensive backs, and Darius Slay is questionable after sitting out last week with a concussion. With limited playable options due to all the offensive injuries, Odunze is the safest angle on the board, and there’s still 10-15 points of cushion in his number.caught all three of his targets last week — not easy with Justin Fields in just his second game as a Jet — and turned one into a 22-yard touchdown. At +475, I’m backing him again. In Week 11, Metchie led all New York receivers in snap share and receiving yards. Adonai Mitchell continues to struggle with drops and is still priced 125 points shorter than Metchie. With Garrett Wilson sidelined, Metchie may operate as the WR1 in what should be a pass-heavy game script. I’d play this down to +350.has 13 red-zone carries to Tyrone Tracy’s three since Cam Skattebo went down, yet Tracy is priced shorter to score. That doesn’t make much sense. Last week, the backfield was a true 50/50 split, and the two combined for 35 carries. Singletary handled nine of the team’s 10 red-zone rushing attempts and scored twice. The offense isn’t pretty, but he owns the red-zone role and can handle 15-plus touches. Anything above +200 is a buy for me, even in a likely negative game script.stepped into the No. 3 role last week, running a route on 73% of snaps. He saw five targets and a carry, and now draws a much softer opponent in Tennessee, a defense allowing the fifth-most receiving yards to wideouts. It’s a solid price for an offense that should push 25+ points on Sunday, and this could be a spot where they dial up more designed touches for the speedster. Tory Holton didn’t practice on Wednesday and could be headed to IR, which would leave the field-stretching WR3 role fully in Shaheed’s hands. I’d play this down to about +230. There are plenty of moving parts in this matchup, with uncertainty in both the Arizona backfield and Jacksonville’s receiver group. What we do know is Marvin Harrison Jr. is out again, and Jacoby Brissett isn’t shy about pushing the ball downfield.connected for 185 yards last week against San Francisco. Wilson didn’t score, but with the injuries in the backfield and Trey McBride drawing most of the defensive attention, he has a real chance to grab his second touchdown of the season as Arizona’s de facto No. 1 wideout. I’d play this down to +180. McBride sitting at -130 to score is wild. This could end up being one of the ugliest games of the season. The Las Vegas offensive line is a mess, as we saw on Monday night when the Cowboys got to Geno Smith four times. Smith also tossed his league-leading 13th interception and now has just as many multi-INT games as multi-TD games. Cleveland’s pass rush may bring more heat than Smith has faced all year, which opens the door for a strip-sack or even a defensive score. A Pick-6 is also firmly in play. This Browns unit found the end zone last week and again in Week 7. Week 12 sets up as another potential splash spot, and taking a shot on the last touchdown at +2000 is worth a look. There is a good chance that a defense is scoring in this game.is getting nearly every goal-line carry, and he should see even more work indoors at Jerry World, where opponents are averaging around 30 points per game this season. Hurts scored the Eagles’ only touchdown last week and is one of just two quarterbacks with 20+ red-zone carries. His efficiency could easily tick up — he has only five touchdowns on 10 carries inside the 5-yard line. If the Eagles push toward 30 points, Hurts has a real chance to find the end zone more than once in a big divisional matchup. This Week 12 long shot stays indoors and features a receiver who already has a solid connection with his new quarterback, Kirk Cousins.. In Week 8, with Cousins under center and London inactive, Hodge saw eight targets and ran a season-high 21 routes. Darnell Mooney has been a non-factor and is dealing with a collarbone issue that may be limiting him. It’s a speculative play, but Hodge has a real chance to be a top-two WR for Atlanta in a favorable matchup. This is a full-unit swing that could close around +500 if he’s confirmed as the WR2.Matthew Stafford leans on his tight ends near the goal line, and Parkinson has five red-zone targets over his last three games, including at least one inside the 10 in all three. You won’t see much of him between the 20s — his work comes when it matters. Parkinson leads all Rams tight ends with eight red-zone targets this season, and Stafford has thrown seven red-zone touchdowns to the position. This is the right profile at the right price. Bryce Young finally showed some life last week, throwing for more yards than any Carolina quarterback has in franchise history. Now he gets a prime-time matchup against a defense that just allowed 47 completions to Jacoby Brissett, an NFL single-game record.offers one of the safest receiving floors in the league. He accounts for about 30% of Carolina’s targets and 40% of the air yards. Last week, he put up 130 yards on 12 targets with two touchdowns, and he led all Week 11 players with four red-zone targets.David Montgomery is getting his name in the paper this week as his head coach has said he wants to get him more carries. Kenneth Walker got the TD last week and is a goal-line option in a great matchup vs. the Titans. Bayshul Tuten is taking some work, but Travis Etienne still had the majority of the red-zone carries last week. Arizona is bleeding points. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles will flirt with 30 points in Dallas. He will get everything near the goal line yet again.: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup. Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC. Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.Thursday Night Football Odds: TNF Betting Lines 2025If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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