News24 projects: ANC to win election, likely to come in below 60% | PieterDuToit ElectionsResults
According to News24's statistical analysis, based on available and representative results:· Its majority will however be reduced from 2014.· Election modelling shows the ANC's likely range to be between 56% and 59%.
"Lower black voter support is a big problem for the ANC. That is shown by our numbers in Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal. In 2014, the ANC secured 80% of black voters, but it seems like this year they will end up on 75%. News24's preliminary numbers also show that the ANC hasn't been able to turn out as many voters compared to 2014. Scholtz said:"The ANC's turnout seems to be between 62%, 63%. In 2014 it was between 69% and 70%.”
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