A new poll demonstrates that previous projections of the 2022 midterm elections may have been premature in concluding that Republicans will likely win control of Congress later this year.
That 2-point margin is a 10-point swing from what that same poll found in November of last year, when Republicans led Democrats by 8 points in the generic ballot question.
The poll has a 3.1 point margin of error, which means it’s a statistical tie in terms of who Americans think should run Congress. There is always a possibility that the poll is a misnomer, an outlier whose findings are not consistent with reality. But the/Suffolk University poll isn’t the only survey that’s revealed a shift over the past month.that tracks the generic congressional ballot question, Republicans had a lead of 3.1 points over Democrats, on average, as of December 1. As of January 4, that lead has shrunk to an average of just 1.1 points.
Democrats are hopeful they can defy historical odds and win the midterms, maintaining control of Congress in the process. Generally speaking, it is typical for the political party of a newly-elected president
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