College football odds, picks and prediction for New Mexico Lobos vs Texas A&M Aggies. Week 1 betting free pick and game analysis.
New Mexico vs Texas A&M picks and predictions Things were rough for the Lobos last season and they may be just as bad this year. New Mexico ranked next to last in the country with 13.1 points per game.
They lost their starting quarterback, top two leading rushers, leading receiver, and a starting lineman. They didn’t replace them with highly touted talent either. New Mexico had the worst-ranked recruiting class in the MWC in 2023 according to On3 Recruiting. They will be relying on transfers for many of their starters with Dylan Hopkins from UAB at QB, Andrew Henry from Louisiana Monroe at RB, and Jeremiah Hixon from Alabama State at WR. On defense, the Lobos lost their top seven tacklers, top eight in tackles for loss, top three in sacks, and 11 of their top 12 defenders in playing time from a unit that allowed 26.0 points per game . They did bring in a Safety from TCU, D’Arco Perkins-McAllister, to replace one of those positions. However, they still have lots of holes. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is bringing back 10 of their 11 offensive starters from a team that averaged 22.8 points per game . However, Conner Weigman at quarterback did not play a ton last season as he took over late going 73/132 passing for 896 yards and eight touchdowns to no interceptions. Their big loss was at RB losing Devon Achane to the NFL. On defense, they only lost three of their top 12 defenders by playing time for a unit that ranked 25th nationally allowing 21.2 points per game. They added CB Tony Grimes from UNC in the transfer portal along with the 15th nationally ranked recruiting class. It will be more likely we see a version of the Aggies where they beat LSU to end the year than the one that lost six consecutive games in the heart of the season. The Lobos offense was dreadful last season and while they likely added a bit more talent than what was left from last season, they still will have no experience playing in a game together. Their strength on defense was completely depleted and not well replaced. They will be lucky to stay with this Texas A&M squad for more than a quarter or two. The Aggies depended heavily on Achane and the run game on offense last season until they introduced Weigman at quarterback. You will likely see a completely different offense this year as they will rely a little bit more heavily on the passing game. However, it may take some time for them to gel and that is why I love the Under in this game.
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