With Iowa's caucuses under threat, the next state in line has major factors working in its favor, despite Democrats' push for more diversity
New Hampshire is the leading contender to replace Iowa at the beginning of the Democratic presidential calendar, according to interviews with more than a dozen Democratic power brokers who are involved in the party’s bid to reorder its nominating process.
The factors aligned in New Hampshire’s favor could mean the state that has long gone second — maintaining the first-in-the-nation primary, after the Iowa caucuses — starts in the best position to take advantage of a calendar shakeup. In a letter to RBC members sent earlier this month and obtained by POLITICO, Nevada’s congressional delegation and governor urged the committee to “strongly consider Nevada as a battle-tested early state that represents the future of the Democratic Party and deserves to be First in the Nation,” adding that “as a highly competitive battleground with strong union representation and one of the most diverse electorates in the country, our state offers a real test of who can put together a winning...
But tradition can also work in New Hampshire’s favor. Their early primary is enshrined in state law, which requires it to go one week before any other presidential primary contests. “The secretary of state has the flexibility to decide when the filing period is and when the primary is,” said former Democratic Gov. John Lynch.Another RBC member, granted anonymity to speak candidly, acknowledged that it “would be a tough row to hoe to remove them, given their state statute.
New Hampshire may also be more immune to sanctions from the DNC, which has used seating delegates as a punishment against states that tried to jump the line, like Florida and Michigan in 2008. But New Hampshire’s clout has always been about its timing, not the delegate haul available there. The state has about 30 delegates, compared to Florida, which has over 249 delegates.
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