Here’s what the polls said in Nevada and beyond about the battle to control the Senate this week:
Republicans need to net one seat, and almost every realistic path to a GOP Senate majority begins with flipping the one held by Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada. | Francis Chung/E&E News/POLITICOAfter nearly two months of lagging behind her GOP challenger in every publicly released poll, Sen.But that poll, from Suffolk University and USA Today, wasn’t necessarily good news for Democrats’ most vulnerable Senate incumbent.
The toplines showed Cortez Masto, who is seeking a second term, leading GOP nominee Adam Laxalt, 46 percent to 44 percent. That’s still better than trailing, but it’s also well within the survey’s margin of error, and Cortez Masto’s vote share is well under the 50 percent threshold that’s considered dry land for incumbents.
That axiom of politics — incumbents under 50 percent are in big trouble — may not be absolute in Cortez Masto’s case. Whether Cortez Masto can overcome Laxalt given her low poll numbers isn’t just an academic argument. Republicans need to net one seat, and given that they trail in the polls in Pennsylvania, almost every realistic path to a GOP Senate majority begins with flipping Nevada.1.
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