College basketball odds, picks and predictions for NC State Wolfpack vs Virginia Cavaliers. NCAAB betting free pick and best bet analysis.
Virginia's strong defensive play has earned it several low totals throughout the season, but our college basketball picks believe the total of 121 for tonight's matchup against NC State isn't enough points for these two.
This Over/Under was sitting as low as 120.5 points and it is up to 121. Should it close there or shorter, it marks just the seventh total of 121 or less this entire college hoops season. And it’s no surprise the Cavaliers have been involved in three of those previous six diminutive Over/Unders. Duke is a very good defensive team, ranking right alongside Virginia in the ACC pecking order in defensive efficiency and tempo. The Cavaliers play at a slower pace than the Blue Devils, which limits opponent's possessions, but even this total may be too low for UVA. The Cavaliers are 5-1 Over/Under in games with totals of 124 points or less this season.
The Wolfpack are playing a more aggressive style in the tournament and average almost 20 FTAs per game. They went 10 of 12 from the stripe in the 76-60 win over Virginia that topped the total of 128 points on Jan. 6. Those 76 points tied the most allowed by UVA during conference play this season. Beekman has played a bigger role as a distributor down the stretch of the season and is projected for more than six assists tonight.
The Wolfpack have proven their worth, especially with two very strong defensive efforts in the wins over Syracuse and Duke. North Carolina State checked the Blue Devils to 43% shooting and its third-lowest offensive output of the season.
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