College football odds, picks and prediction for NC State Wolfpack vs Purdue Boilermakers. Week 4 betting free pick and game analysis.
: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting siteVirginia team total Under 19.5 pointsAs long as this spread stays short of 10 points, North Carolina State should have no trouble covering it. Most of that certainty can be credited to the Wolfpack defense. More precisely, to its defensive line. And as Virginia’s roster thins and its program woes become more and more apparent, quality defensive lines will feast against its offensive line.
The Cavaliers did manage 35 points against James Madison, but the Dukes have one of the 25 worst defenses in the country when pondering success rate. Their pass defense is atrocious, and as previously established, pass defense is the only defense needed against Virginia. A team total as lofty as 19.5 will not be available for long with the Cavaliers. Once they are thoroughly shut down a few more times, adding distance from that meager success against James Madison, bookmakers will set that number far lower in the future. Soon enough, it will top out at 16.5. Right now, anything north of 17 is found money.
If interception props were more readily available, betting on Colandrea to throw at least one would be logical. But without them, place some belief in North Carolina State veteran Brennan Armstrong. When the Wolfpack is struggling in the trenches, he resorts to running, 18 times against Connecticut and 10 times against Notre Dame .
When North Carolina State is winning up front, Armstrong takes his time to find his receivers, throwing for an average of 262 yards the last two weeks. Virginia has no unit that can compete with the Wolfpack, particularly not where physicality matters most. Losing the line of scrimmage when Armstrong is behind center will reveal itself in how long he can take to find his unproven receivers.
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