Can Jokic claim a fourth MVP? Which rookie will impress? Our NBA Summer Forecast panel reveals its award predictions for the 2025-26 season.
in 2015 to win Finals MVP and league MVP in the same season. This season, it'll be another tight race to the top of the awards list, not only for MVP but for other major awards as well.is primed to take home Rookie of the Year.
But in a talented rookie class, he's sure to face some challengers, includingWe asked our Summer Forecast panel -- a group of NBA experts, including reporters, editors and analysts -- to rank its top three choices for the NBA's six major awards, with a first-place vote receiving five points, a second-place vote receiving three and a third-place vote receiving one.Note: Our 2025-26 NBA Summer Forecast continues Wednesday with win-loss predictions for the Eastern and Western conferences. On Monday, we revealed our picks for the teams that will have the biggest turnaround this season and the teams that will drop off and answered some of the season's biggest questions.Either voter fatigue wears off quickly, or voters were very impressed by Nikola Jokic's head-to-head battle with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the second round of the 2025 playoffs. The three-time MVP came in as a heavy favorite to win for a fourth time in our preseason survey, almost doubling the votes for SGA to repeat. Voters also seemed to be impressed by Luka Doncic's offseason transformation as the svelte version of the Los Angeles Lakers point guard came in second in early voting. Team success always plays a factor in voting, which is probably why SGA has slipped to third here. In other words, he already elevated the Thunder to a championship level and was recognized as the MVP for doing it. But what if there's even another level for him -- and the youngest championship team in decades -- to reach?Unsurprisingly, Flagg ran away with the voting: He's the best prospect in this class, brings NBA-ready versatility and is stepping into what will likely be an important role on a team with playoff hopes and veteran talent. This award tends to be about the confluence of talent and circumstance, and Flagg enters the league with an optimal combination of both. Harper and Edgecombe finished second and third, and both players can be highly impactful as rookies. The question in both instances will be how big a role they can carve out in their respective crowded backcourts, and whether that leads to a big enough platform to mount a case for Rookie of the Year honors. On paper, Flagg has a major leg up -- for now.Deep vein thrombosis in his right shoulder essentially robbed Spurs phenom Victor Wembanyama of winning his first NBA Defensive Player of the Year award last season because the 21-year-old failed to meet the 65-game threshold for eligibility when. Despite playing in just 46 games last season, Wembanyama led the league in blocks by a wide margin over second-place finisher. Plus, he averaged 1.1 steals for a Spurs defense that owned a defensive rating of 115.4 with him on the floor . If Wembanyama plays in league-required 65 games this season, it would be a surprise if he didn't snatch the award by a landslide ahead of reigning DPOY Evan Mobley and other contenders such as Chet Holmgren, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Rudy Gobert. A one-time DPOY winner, Antetokounmpo finished eighth in award voting last season ahead of four-time winner Rudy Gobert, who finished 13th. Keep an eye on how Milwaukee's offseason addition ofWill voters value nuance over numbers? That would have to be the case for Alex Caruso to win this award this upcoming season. This honor traditionally goes to a player who provides instant offense off the bench. It has been three decades since the Sixth Man of the Year averaged single digits in points, which has happened only three times in the history of the award. Caruso's impact in his first season in Oklahoma City, particularly during the playoffs, is indisputable. But he averaged only 7.1 points per game during the regular season, when he received a single third-place vote to finish eighth in Sixth Man of the Year balloting. A significant scoring boost is unlikely for Caruso during his ninth NBA season as a role player on a loaded Thunder roster. The Thunder will continue to carefully manage Caruso's minutes , prioritizing the 31-year-old's freshness for another probable deep playoff run and providing developmental opportunities for young guards such as. But there is precedent for dominant defense and contributing to a contender earning this award, going back to the first Sixth Man of the Year, Philadelphia's Bobby Jones in 1982-83. The 65-game minimum doesn't apply to Sixth Man of the Year, but a couple of players who finished high in ESPN's balloting might not be eligible for this award. Last season's winner, Payton Pritchard, and Nickeil Alexander-Walker are strong candidates to be starters this season.Amen Thompson was a runaway winner in this category, as he is slated to play a significant role for a Rockets team with high expectations in 2025-26. Thompson will be entering his third season in the NBA, having already taken a jump in Year 2, and he hasn't even been a full-time starter yet. He has already established himself as an elite defensive player, making the All-Defensive team and is currently one of the best on-ball defenders in the league. His offensive game showed signs of improvement in the playoffs, with better handles and a jumper as he upped his scoring averages as the series went on, giving the league a glimpse of what he can do on the other side of the ball. That should be elevated, considering Thompson will be playing next to Kevin Durant this season, a much better offensive centerpiece for Houston than it had last season.Jamahl Mosley was tasked with developing the Magic when he was hired in 2021, and he got a young core to two straight playoff appearances. But now, Mosley has a roster built to make a run at winning the injury-weakened East, and our panel is betting Mosley will captain a significant leap forward and take home Coach of the Year honors. Orlando is poised to win more than 50 games for the first time since 2010-11 with the additions of' ability to return from left knee surgery. Southeast division rival Atlanta, another team that made significant offseason moves, is expected to contend in the East this season, with coach Quin Snyder at its helm.
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