The algorithms are set. We've run the numbers. Here's how the BPI sees the 2024-25 NBA season -- and who is set to lift the championship trophy.
One thing that analytics can do is see the future. It's like a superpower without the movies made about it.better at seeing the future than the average guy doing clicker finger reps on League Pass. It sees how good teams were before, how they have changed, and who they have to play. It adjusts to the teams that overperformed underperformed, based on the players in the game.playing just nine games and the injury-riddled team giving plenty of minutes to guys who won't get them this season.
to have the best title odds, with a 21% chance to win the championship. It liked the talent,ed combination of forwards. But it couldn't fully account for the coaching soap opera that played out . Antetokounmpo, in particular, questioned the old boss, Adrian Griffin, until he was let go, and then the new boss was no better than the old boss. That didn't help them, and the BPI doesn't forget.likes them and is hoping for no soap operas there.
But that's not Dallas, right? Luka is young, Kyrie is still the best finishing guard we've ever seen, and Klay will see and make a lot of open looks. Fortunately, the BPI sees what these guys are and where they're trending. This season has the Mavs with the fourth-best chances at a title with 10% of the hypothetical futures.
Then the BPI saw the trade. And liked it ... for Minnesota, at least. Both teams saw their playoff chances increase, but the Wolves' playoff chances went up from approximately 65% to 80% in the West, while the Knicks edged up a hair to 65% in the East. The Wolves' title odds went from 4% to 5%, whereas the Knicks went down from 3% to 1%. The Knicks' high-end future actually doesn't seem so high to the BPI.
If it's the former, the BPI's top five offensive teams project to be the Celtics, Thunder, 76ers, Mavericks and Pacers. The Celtics, Pacers and Thunder were all there last season, but Philly enters the top echelon courtesy of George. And Dallas is there with its three All-NBA guys and a couple of rim-scaring big men.For the BPI's bottom five offensive teams, Detroit, Portland and San Antonio all repeat.
Chicago is in a more precarious situation. If the Bulls are on pace for their usual 35-39 wins around the All-Star break , they could go into full-on development mode to finish the season. No matter how smart the BPI is, it can't read the minds of the Bulls organization, especially months before such a decision is likely to be made. For right now, it sees them with about a 20% chance of being among the bottom six teams, but the pingpong balls could randomly push their pick back to No.
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