Navy vs Air Force NCAAF Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets: If It Ain't Broke...

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Navy vs Air Force NCAAF Picks, Predictions, and Best Bets: If It Ain't Broke...
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Saturday's Navy-Air Force contest is yet another opportunity to back one of the most reliable trends in college football in Service Academy Unders. Andrew Caley believes there's still value to be had even as oddsmakers continue to lower the totals.

Saturday's Navy-Air Force contest is yet another opportunity to back one of the most reliable trends in college football in Service Academy Unders. Andrew Caley believes there's still value to be had even as oddsmakers continue to lower the totals.

These things are true in a sense and I would never recommend making a bet based solely on trend. My case for the Under is oddsmakers may not be able to adjust these totals enough. Other defenses of the Over might include, “Navy looks more explosive this season,” or “Air Force looks overmatched.” Well, even if Navy looks more explosive, they are still run the football 80% of the time.

Sure, the Overs should start hitting soon. Law of averages, etc. But jumping on the Over to be a contrarian because of a perceived edge seems more foolish than backing this trend with solid data behind it.

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Navy vs Air Force Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Best Bet: If It Ain't Broke...Navy vs Air Force Prediction, Picks, Odds, and Best Bet: If It Ain't Broke...Saturday's Navy-Air Force contest is yet another opportunity to back one of the most reliable trends in college football in Service Academy Unders. Andrew Caley believes there's still value to be had even as oddsmakers continue to lower the totals.
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