The claim of the vehicles driving around, carrying passengers with no driver behind the wheel by June borders on ridiculous. The numbers just don't back it up
In Tesla ’s 4Q24 Earnings call, which reported sales and profits below expectations, Elon Musk claimed that Tesla would launch an “unsupervised” robotaxi service in Austin, Texas by June of this year, and in every market by next year. Musk says 2025 may be the biggest year in Tesla history.
The service will be offered, he states, through Tesla fleet-owned vehicles. Customers will receive FSD software the the same capability reasonably soon after. Cars will pick up riders with nobody in the vehicle in June. He admits it is a bold goal, and they will put their “toe in the water gently at first” but because the system “does not require mapping” it can spread quickly, and will be in “many regions in the US by the end of the year.
That’s a crucially important fact. As hard as it is to reach that level of safety, even arguably the best team in the business took 6 years to get from that to serious deployment. In spite of Musk’s claim of the importance of their reduced use of maps the Waymo cars are not blocked in their expansion by mapping issues. Their cars drive off-map every day when the road changes; they just don’t wish to do that regularly as they feel it reduces safety.
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