The excess deaths include those directly attributable to Covid-19 and those that occurred from other natural causes that could not be treated as people did not, or could not, seek care
The coronavirus pandemic has led to almost 11,000 fatalities in SA, more than triple the official death count, according to the latest analysis from the Medical Research Council .
Calculating these excess deaths provides an insight into the impact of the disease, which was first detected in SA in early March. Natural deaths are those caused by a disease or condition such as cancer, while non-natural deaths are due to causes such as traffic accidents or homicide. The gap is not unique to SA: around the world, official Covid-19 death reports generally underestimate the true extent of the disease as they only reflect deaths occurring in facilities where patients have been tested.
Many countries are tracking excess Covid-19 deaths by comparing the number of natural deaths in a given time period to a recent historical average. However, the MRC said it had used a lower baseline for comparison than the historical average to take account of the marked decline in deaths observed before Covid-19 fatalities were significant.
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