Gallup's latest poll reveals that for the first time in recorded history, more American adults identify as Republican during a presidential election year. This shift in party affiliation could have significant implications for the upcoming November elections.
More American adults identify as Republican in the third quarter of a presidential year for the first time in recorded history, Gallup revealed Tuesday.is significant because party identification is a strong indicator of party preferences leading into November’s presidential, House, and Senate elections.
In years when the advantage was narrower — 2004 and 2016, for example — Republicans won in the electoral college if not also the popular vote. More vulnerable Democrat seats mean the party must spend more resources defending seats rather than attacking seats held by Republican senators up for reelection.
Republican Democrat Election Gallup Party Affiliation
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