Modeling the influence of COVID superspreading events Coronavirus Disease COVID superspreader medrxivpreprint UnivOfKansas KUMedCenter
Study: Exploring the Role of Superspreading Events in SARS-CoV-2 Outbreaks. Image Credit: StockTom / Shutterstock
About the study In the present study, the researchers developed a continuous-time Markov chain model to examine the impact of SSEs on the dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the US. The authors defined SSEs as social or public events that lead to numerous SARS-CoV-2 infections over a short period.
Results The study results demonstrated that the SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks with SSE dominance were often more variable yet less severe and more prone to extinction than outbreaks without SSE dominance. The authors observed this after eliminating hospitalization and quarantine conditions or upon the inclusion of hospitalization, quarantine, early hospital discharge, and quarantine breach.
Quarantine and hospitalization were more potent at regulating outbreaks dominated by SSE than those without SSE dominance in all scenarios. Similarly, quarantine breaches and premature hospital discharge were significant for outbreaks dominated by SSE. Conclusions Altogether, the study findings showed that COVID-19 outbreaks dominated by SSE differ noticeably from non-SSE-dominated outbreaks in their severity, variability, and chances of extinction. They also vary, albeit more low-key, from outbreaks dominated by superspreading individuals . The possibility of hospitalization or quarantine and the likelihood of premature hospital discharge or violation of quarantine significantly impact the dynamics of SSE-dominated outbreaks.
United States Latest News, United States Headlines
Similar News:You can also read news stories similar to this one that we have collected from other news sources.
Conspiracy theory about Boris Johnson not having Covid-19 is back - Full FactSome people on Facebook still believe there was a conspiracy to silence doctors who doubted Boris Johnson’s Covid-19 diagnosis. There wasn’t. This comes from an article that says it was meant to be a joke. 🔍 👉
Read more »
Covid-19 hospitalisations more than trebled in last month in Greater ManchesterThe rise comes after Greater Manchester health chiefs have warned for weeks that the next ‘wave’ of the virus was beginning
Read more »
Seven reasons why some people have never caught Covid, according to an expertDespite hundreds of millions falling victim to coronavirus, there is still a significant amount of the population who have not tested positive.
Read more »
Covid Hospital Cases Will Rise, Says Jenny HarriesUK Health Security Agency chief says “it doesn’t look as though that wave has finished yet'.
Read more »
Covid cases rise in Nottingham by 30% in one weekHealth bosses are reporting Covid is 'once again spreading through our communities'
Read more »