A new modeling study demonstrates that most countries could achieve 80-80-80 hypertension targets by 2040, promoting increased global equality for cardiovascular diseases, with the greatest benefits in low-income countries davidawatkins ResolveTSL
illustrates the improvement in cardiovascular health—defined as the probability of remaining free of hypertension, CVD or death from any cause—for the cohort of adults aged 35–39 in the year 2020 and who would be aged 65–69 in 2050. In this cohort, the proportion of adults without raised blood pressure or CVD would decline over time, reflecting increased risks associated with age.
Fig. 1: Evolution of cardiovascular health status in a cohort of at-risk adults, across three blood pressure intervention scenarios. The probability of remaining free of hypertension, CVD or all-cause death among an example cohort of individuals aged 35–39 years in 2020 as they age from 35–39 years in 2020 to 65–69 years in 2050.summarizes the worldwide consequences of achieving better global population blood pressure control in the coming decades.
About 4–7% of projected all-cause deaths in the year 2050 could be prevented in the progress and aspirational scenarios, respectively, as compared to the business-as-usual scenario. Given that most of the CVD deaths that would be averted through improved hypertension control would occur at older ages, life expectancy at birth would increase by a modest 0.78–1.3%; however, remaining life expectancy at age 40 would increase by 1.5–2.6%, or 0.63–1.1 years.
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