Josh Inglis finds the betting edges in pitching props markets today, with Corbin Burnes and Luis Severino highlighting his best bets.
Josh Inglis has sifted through the odds and starting pitcher matchups to drum up the best angles related to starters on today's MLB slate, including fades on Eduardo Rodriguez, Corbin Burnes, and Luis Severino.Angles, edges, scams, call them what you want, if you're betting pitcher props early, there are always a handful if you dig into the matchups.
Shopping around is key here as DraftKings has Burnes' Under 6.5 strikeouts at -120 while he is as short as -140 at bet365. I'd buy this to -130 with THE BAT projecting 5.8 Ks. The angle: Eduardo Rodriguez has pitched on five and six days of rest since his return to the rotation but will be on four days of rest today vs. the Dodgers. had his last start pushed back a day as he threw 100 pitches in his third start of the year.
If that is too much juice, add his Under 3.5 Ks. His strikeout market could flip from 3.5 to 2.5 and with 2.26 punchouts projected, that plus-money Under 2.5 Ks might be a good look, too, so let's play that SGP at +180. last pitched on August 14 and threw 68 pitches before exiting with shoulder soreness. He didn't make any rehab starts but did throw some simulated games in the interim.
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