College hitters are dominating MLB draft boards. Let's break down the best of the best going into NCAA super regionals.
is the top tier of college position players, five hitters who are all legitimate candidates to go No. 1 overall on draft day.
Now let's drill down on what he has done at the plate. First and foremost in this era of high velocity, Condon has been very good in the 114 pitches he has faced of 95-plus mph the past two seasons, with five homers and a 1.865 OPS, higher than his overall 1.463 OPS. He also has a very low overall fastball miss rate this season .
So, the one part of Condon's hitting profile that isn't a plus -- his rate of chasing balls out of the zone -- just shows the limitation of that measure without diving deeper because it's mostly in an area that he's intentionally choosing to take advantage of what works for him.
The bullish theory is that Cags has truly incomparable physical ability and that players like this are better at making adjustments when they have to, as competition gets stronger. The common take in player development circles is that bat-to-ball ability demonstrates a baseline level of"eye talent" to see the ball, make a decision and have the brain tell the hands to do something, so pitch selection is merely the discipline to act on that demonstrated ability.
There is a lot of red just below the zone, and the actual pitches that make up that area are in large part changeups along with some backfoot sliders and only a couple fastballs. This combination of a tendency to chase in general, but specifically on soft stuff below the zone, means Montgomery will get a steady diet of this in pro ball and be forced to make adjustments to succeed.
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