Michigan State vs. Kentucky predictions and college basketball picks. Spartans slow things down for Wildcats, suppressing the total.
Michigan State will grind the pace down to a much slower tempo than Kentucky is used to, which has us targeting the game total Under as our best bet.Two of college basketball’s elite square off tonight when the Michigan State Spartans and Kentucky Wildcats face off in the first game of the State Farm Champions Classic at Madison Square Garden.
The Wildcats will look to pick up their first signature win of the season, while the Spartans hope to repeat their performance against Arkansas last week. and the Louisville Cardinals last week, as the teams combined to score 184 points. And the Wildcats thrive when they can play up-tempo, as evidenced by their 371 points scored through four games.That game easily had the slowest pace of any the Hogs have played this season, as the Spartans picked up a 69-66 win. Arkansas had just 68 possessions, exactly what Michigan State has averaged per game through three contests, ranking 232nd in adjusted tempo Izzo’s squad is struggling badly from outside, relying on the nation’s best assist rate and an elite offensive rebounding output to find points, as it ranks just 255th in eFG%. Most of its baskets are coming at the rim, and it'll work Kentucky to death at that end to get mismatches. On the flip side, the Wildcats aren’t the same offensively without Jaland Lowe, as evidenced by their half-court struggles when he wasn’t on the floor against the Cardinals. And Kentucky struggled when Louisville got physical. Those factors will lead to a much slower pace than we’re used to seeing from the Wildcats, while Michigan State’s offensive rebounding will lead to longer possessions. I’ll take the Under down to 151.5 points. Izzo has compared Jeremy Fears to Spartan legend Mateen Cleaves, and has given his point guard the freedom to call his own plays at times. Fears has a 49.4% assist rate and at least nine dimes in all three games. Kentucky struggled to handle high-ball screens against Louisville, and often doubled, leading to 20 assists for the Cardinals on 31 made baskets. Repeating that behavior will have Fears easily surpassing his total. Denzel Aberdeen has been Kentucky’s best perimeter player and has multiple assists in every game. He’ll have the ball in his hands more given Lowe’s absence, and Michigan State will likely try to force him to give it up if he attacks the basket.It’s almost always a tight game when Michigan State and Kentucky get together, and this shouldn’t be any different. The slower pace and physicality from the Spartans will help keep things tight, while the Wildcats are still figuring out how to operate in the half-court without their point guard. Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 36 games . Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Jason has been hooked on football since watching Real Madrid and Manchester United in the 2003 Champions League, and has been betting on the sport for nearly 15 years. He has given soccer gambling and fantasy advice for nearly a decade, writing for sites including Rotowire, SB Nation, and The TwinSpires Edge.Akron vs Bowling Green Prediction, Picks & Odds for November 18 — College Football Week 13Oregon State vs Oregon Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball GameHouston vs Auburn Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's College Basketball GameUConn vs BYU Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game — November 15If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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