College football odds, picks and prediction for Miami Hurricanes vs North Carolina Tar Heels. Week 7 betting free pick and game analysis.
Likely still reeling from last week's embarrassing loss, Miami hits the road to face Drake Maye and North Carolina on Saturday night. Our college football betting picks believe this is a recipe for disaster for the Hurricanes.No team endured as frustrating a loss as the Miami Hurricanes did last week. Miami had won. It had beaten Georgia Tech. And then it kept playing, eventually fumbling and giving up a deep touchdown just before time expired.
But the Hurricanes also have Clemson on the schedule. Including this weekend, they likely will be underdogs in at least three remaining games. The players may be young, cocky, and ambitious, but they also aren’t stupid. They recognize the very real cost of that unnecessary loss last weekend. It is, to be fair, a rather strong weakest link, ranking No. 63 in the country in expected points added per dropback against. Most teams would love to have an above-average weakest link. But only an above-average pass defense is a recipe for disaster against North Carolina.
The Panthers are spiraling, but the Orange boast the No. 32 EPA per dropback against, in some measure because it has picked off six opposing passes, though none of Maye’s. Maye’s legs are so effective in part because defenses mostly assume North Carolina will throw the ball. The Tar Heels do so 8.7% more often than game state would usually expect, No. 18 in the country, per cfb-graphs.com.
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