Our early Miami vs. Florida State predictions like the Seminoles to put up a fight to keep this clash close.
This should be a tight game on the scoreboard, as Florida State benefits from playing in front of a home crowd. Miami may pull away with the win, but we like the Seminoles to cover as home dogs.The Florida State Seminoles will try to bounce back from their first loss of the season as they host the undefeated Miami Hurricanes for an in-state rivalry showdown in Week 6.
The Hurricanes have the more impressive overall resume this season, but the Seminoles should make this a fight at home, which is why I’m taking them to cover in my early Miami vs. Florida State predictions.Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview later in the week.’ overtime loss on the road to the Virginia Cavaliers was a moderate upset, losing a close game as a one-score favorite isn’t enough for me to completely change my evaluation of a team. The Seminoles are still one of the most dangerous and talented offensive squads in the country, especially on the ground, where they are pounding opposing defenses for 6.7 yards per play.defense that hasn’t been hit for more than 24 points this season and is allowing just 11.5 points per game to opponents. The Seminoles should increase that total – Florida State is averaging 53.0 PPG – but this is clearly a battle of strength-on-strength, as the Hurricanes are allowing 2.6 yards per rush. The difference in this game may come from Carson Beck, who should find ways to get the ball to Malachi Toney and his other talented wide receivers against a Florida State secondary that forced three turnovers against Virginia’s passing game, but which did allow Chandler Morris to complete 26-of-35 passes for 229 yards as well. If I had to make a moneyline pick, I think Miami’s defense makes a big stop to win this game late. But I can’t turn down 4.5 points at home, and would take the Seminoles on the spread at 3.5 points or more.Between Gavin Sawchuk and quarterback Tommy Castellanos, Florida State has had little trouble moving the ball or scoring on the ground this year. But Florida State’s defense is clearly an area of concern, at least against other playoff-level teams. Their overall numbers aren’t exactly bad – the Seminoles are giving up 4.6 yards per play and only 19 ppg – but Virginia showed there are vulnerabilities that opponents can exploit if they have the talent level to be competitive up front. Between the overwhelming offense and some defensive lapses, Florida State has managed to play to the Over in each of its first four games. Miami has bounced around the total a bit more, but I think the most instructive game might be the early-season matchup against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. While the Hurricanes won, they did allow 24 points, showing that elite offenses can score against this swarming unit. I expect the Florida State offense to find the same kind of moderate success as the Irish did. This won’t quite be a shootout, but there should be more than enough offense on both sides to get to the Over.: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport. His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book. Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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