Memorial Tournament odds: four players to back for first-round leader

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Memorial Tournament odds: four players to back for first-round leader
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Jon Rahm highlights the best bets to lead the Memorial Tournament after Round 1.

We’ve reached our final set of plays for the 2022 Memorial Tournament — the first-round leader!

It’s also worth mentioning Rahm is 15th in SG: Par 5’s and has played two consecutive opening rounds at Muirfield Village under par. In 2020 — the year he won — Rahm was tied for fifth at the end of day one after recording a T-12 finish last year.Lastly, Rahm ranks 10th on the PGA Tour this season in first-round scoring average. In the 2021 season, the Spaniard finished second for the season in first-round scoring.

He’ll need to eliminate the wayward tee shots to have a chance at the first-round lead, but there’s a lot to like elsewhere. In that same projection, Smith rates out 29th in SG: approach and 30th in GIRs gained.Plus, he’s 10th or better in sand saves , SG: Par 5’s and SG: Par 4’s — 450 to 500 yards . All those projections lead him to be fifth overall across his last 24 opening rounds.

He’s tied for seventh on tour in first-round scoring this season — a 55-spot improvement over his ranking last season — and is a player that models out very well for this tournament. Not only is he ninth overall in my 24-round projection, but he ranks 11th or better in my four-, eight-, 12- and 24-round projections that add in the “first round” qualifier.

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