In a state where the police murder of George Floyd in 2020 sparked a nationwide reckoning on public safety and police reform, it’s the primary reason Keith Ellison is seen as the single most vulnerable incumbent in Minnesota.
last month, Republicans held an 11-percentage-point advantage over Democrats on crime, a worse issue for Democrats than inflation, gas prices or the economy.
Walking to the barns at the fair, Ellison, the first Muslim elected to Congress and first African American elected to statewide office in Minnesota, acknowledged that given the result of his attorney general race four years ago — he won by fewer than 4 percentage points — “there’s reason to believe” his race might be close.
In retrospect, the politically prudent thing might have been to stay out of the Minneapolis ballot question. But when I asked him about that, Ellison shook his head. Then Ellison was at the barn, stumping in his cuffed jeans and short sleeves and dipping into a tub of Sweet Martha’s chocolate chip cookies.that no Republican has wonstatewide office here since 2006. The state has gone Democratic in 12 straight presidential elections, dating back to 1976. And though Donald Trump lost Minnesota by fewer than 45,000 votes in 2016, four years later — despite— it wasn’t even close, with Biden thumping him by more than 7 percentage points.
“In this state it’ll be a miracle if a Republican wins, it’s so liberal,” said retired pastor Donald Berger at the fair. | David Siders/POLITICO
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