'Maybe the easiest reopenings are now behind us': What to make of the market's mixed action (via TradingNation)
TheMarket watchers are grappling with the question on everyone's mind: How quickly will the economy recover?Mark Vitner, senior economist at Wells Fargo Securities, said the speed of the comeback could be slowing:
"I really think that what we're seeing is a slowdown in the rate of improvement. And we saw an initial bounce back, and when you saw activity fall as hard as it did in April and you go from being 100% of restaurants closed to 85% of restaurants being closed, that gets you a big callback of workers. But the improvement from there seems to be slowing because I've been to a number of restaurants recently and some do it very well in terms of being able to socially distance.
"I think the market's been remarkably resilient, particularly the larger-cap quality names that have come back dramatically since the lows back a number of months ago, and that does reflect the sense that we bottomed out from an economic standpoint and the data is going to start to get better and markets typically focus on ... the rate of change going forward. But it's been a pretty remarkable bounce back. At the same time, if you look at the dispersion between large-cap U.S.
"As it relates to valuations, with the rebound in the stocks over the last couple of months, we've also seen, obviously, the multiples move up as well. And we're now looking, for the broader tech sector, [at] forward multiples that are at or near the high end of the recent historical range.
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