MLB predictions, picks, and odds for Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers on 4-23. MLB best bets and free picks.
It's an AL West showdown in Texas as the Mariners take on the Rangers in what should be a highly entertaining series. Our MLB betting picks believe the starting pitching matchup favors the Rangers and there's some value to be had as a small pup.
Seattle is coming in here with a head of steam having won seven of eight, though those wins came over the Colorado Rockies and Cincinnati Reds, who don’t match the quality of Texas.The thing with Dunning last season was that no, he did not “get lucky” or “defy the odds” by pitching around a 4.48 expected ERA to a 3.70 actual ERA thanks to a great defense behind him. are once again in the top five when it comes to Outs Above Average, doing a marginally better job in the infield.
On the flip side, barrels are the enemy of Logan Gilbert, who has pitched to nearly as many fly balls as Dunning but has gotten around trouble with high strikeout numbers. Texas is among the best in fly ball rate and home run-to-fly ball ratio, and with the third-lowest strikeout rate in baseball, it should be in a favorable spot.We’re gonna get a little weird here with our same-game parlay and take two dueling strikeout props on either pitcher.
On the other side of the coin, Dunning’s up to nearly a career-best with 8.6 strikeouts per nine this season and he will have one of the friendliest strikeout matchups in all of baseball against the Mariners, who have been retired on strikes in a whopping 26.9% of their plate appearances. Dunning did hit this number in his first two starts, sitting down seven in each, before coming in under the total in his next two outings which were abbreviated and didn’t last six frames.
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