March Madness Predictions: Survivor Pool Picks for the First Round

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March Madness Predictions: Survivor Pool Picks for the First Round
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March Madness predictions to get you through Round 1 of your 2026 survivor pool, including the Nebraska Cornhuskers and Kanas Jayhawks.

Douglas Farmer provides you with a team from each day of Round 1 that will bring you to glory in your March Madness survivor pool.Photo By - Reuters Connect. Bryson Tiller and guard Darryn Peterson against the Arizona State Sun Devils at Desert Financial Arena.

Here comes the puzzle that demands both misery and sleep deprivation. But it is also a puzzle you can plausibly solve, unlike picking a perfect bracket. March Madness survivor pools are the truest springtime chance at a massive payout from a modest investment. If you're unfamiliar with the concept, it is very similar to the better-known NFL survivor pools, but the tournament format means your pool of available teams shrinks by half with each round. Pick a team to win each day of the NCAA Tournament. Once you pick a team, you cannot pick it again, so you'd better hold your title pick in your back pocket for three weeks. In the first round, you want to find teams flawed enough that they do not have plausible Final Four hopes yet strong enough you can trust them to win their opening games. This is March; how many flawed teams can you genuinely trust?It becomes difficult to find enough variance when a double-digit underdog plays at a plodding pace and does not make even a third of its 3-point attempts. You may have noticed, few folks are considering Troy as a trendy underdog pick.to reach the Sweet Sixteen, an underdog to No. 4 seed Vanderbilt in the same pod . Taking Nebraska as your initial survivor pick makes sense, as the Cornhuskers should win handily while struggling to see a path forward. Also considered: Vanderbilt as an 11.5-point favorite vs. McNeese State and with -115 odds of reaching the Sweet Sixteen and +400 odds of reaching the Elite Eight; Arkansas as a 15-point favorite vs. Hawai’i and with -140 odds of reaching the Sweet Sixteen but +450 odds of reaching the Elite Eight.are 14.5-point favorites against the 13-seed Cal Baptist Lancers. Some may point out how dynamic Cal Baptist guard Dominique Daniels can be, particularly since he hoists shots on 34.0% of the possessions when he is on the court. But the blunt reality is the Lancers lost by 31 points against BYU in early December, the most comparable opponent to the Jayhawks on their schedule. For that matter, Kansas has its own dynamic guard, freshman Darryn Peterson, actually shooting even more often than Daniels at 34.7%. Just as BYU star AJ Dybantsa won the showcase matchup with Daniels — the latter scoring only 11 points on 4 of 13 shooting — expect Peterson to exert his will on both ends of the court.to advance out of the first weekend, undone by the imposing threat of St. John’s. Again, taking Kansas should open a path to the weekend without closing off a path further forward. Also considered: Virginia as an 18.5-point favorite vs. Wright State and with -130 odds of reaching the Sweet Sixteen but +300 odds of reaching the Elite Eight. Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds. In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets. While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.UNLV vs UC Irvine Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NIT Tournament GameSouth Alabama vs Auburn Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NIT GameStephen F. Austin vs Tulsa Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NIT GamePanthers vs Canucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL GameMarch Madness Props 2026: Best Tournament-Long Prop Bets, Picks & StrategyCopyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. 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