Get the best Maple Leafs vs. Rangers predictions ahead of Friday's Eastern Conference clash. Free NHL picks and predictions for February 28.
The Maple Leafs offense has caught fire since returning from the 4 Nations break, and Mike DiStefano expects it to stay hot, led by none other than Auston Matthews.We have three games on the NHL betting slate tonight, including an Original Six clash between the New York Rangers and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Madison Square Garden.
New York has struggled defensively this season, my Maple Leafs vs. Rangers predictions focus in on Auston Matthews and his ability to get pucks on net. have won three straight games since the 4 Nations break, with an offensive eruption netting 5+ goals in each victory. Meanwhile, thehave won two of their three games, all against non-playoff teams, I might add, but with extremely leaky defensive zone coverage. The Blue Shirts have allowed a league-high 36.6 shots per game in the three contests since returning from their two-week absence. Additionally, New York will be without its top defenseman, Adam Fox, who was placed on the injured reserve list after sustaining an injury in their last game. New York has struggled defensively all season. According to Natural Stat Trick, the team ranks 30th in high-danger chances allowed and 29th in shots against at 5-on-5. Generating offense at 5-on-5 is an area where Toronto has excelled this year, being in the top half of league teams in these categories. Hence, I'm targeting a Maple Leafs shot prop total as my best bet. His shot prop total is set at 3.5 tonight. It's a number he has cleared in back-to-back games and recorded 4+ shots in eight of his last 11 games, averaging 4.3 per game in that stretch. He also exceeded that total with nine shots in the one previous meeting between these two squads earlier this year. Not only is Matthews a threat as a high-volume shooter, but it's the quality of looks that makes him the most dangerous. He leads the NHL in scoring chances per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 and ranks third in individual high-danger chances; two defensive categories that the Blueshirts struggle with, ranking 28th and 30th in those metrics, respectively. With the Rangers giving up quality shots in high quantities, it should benefit Auston Matthews, who should be well-rested after a three-day layoff.For the first leg of the SGP, we'll mirror the best bet and take Auston Matthews to record 4+ shots on goal. He's hit this total in three straight meetings against the Rags and in eight of his last 11 overall. Next up in the SGP, we'll continue with the Matthews theme and take him to score an anytime goal. The Rangers are susceptible to giving up high-quality chances, and Matthews can generate and bury the biscuit better than anyone on the planet. He's been in a bit of a slump lately, but he's scored five goals in his last four games against the Rangers, all of which were scored on Igor Shesterkin as well.to register 2+ shots on goal. He's cashed this bet in back-to-back games and in six of the seven games he's played this month.Looking to bet on some Leafs action? Join Sports Interaction, the best in Canada for new bettors, and get a: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show"OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever. A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.Zak HanshewCopyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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