Saturday night’s Game 7 between the Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs should be fantastic theatre.
Both the Leafs and Bruins are dealing with demons of past playoff failures, but Boston is the team under the most scrutiny.The general consensus seems to be that the league’s top scorer is doubtful to play Saturday, but the Leafs are 2-0 without him in this series. Matthews is obviously a needle-mover, so expect to see the price on the Leafs crash if he’s trending toward playing.
Assuming Matthews is out, I would expect this game to have a similar flow to the last two. With their backs against the wall, Toronto has been pot-committed to playing a more defensive style of hockey that has seen them clog up the middle of the ice, block a ton of shots and keep things simple when they have the puck. That has led to some low-event contests, since Boston isn’t built to push the pace.
And the special teams advantage is also not as important since referees tend to keep the whistles in their pockets in Game 7. Boston will likely need to win the 5-on-5 battle, which isn’t how this series has shaken out so far. Boston is at home, but I don’t think there’s any real home-ice advantage in a situation like this. The B’s are 1-2 in Boston in this series and the building will be tense considering the team is on the brink of another historic collapse.
With both teams seemingly happy to lock things down, I’ll go back to the well on the first period to end scoreless in Game 7 as my favorite bet. This bet has already cashed twice and the environment for Game 7 should be conducive to a very slow start. As for a side, it’s Leafs or nothing at the current prices. They’ve got this series on their terms over the past two games and have shown no signs of letting it slip away. Boston, on the other hand, has done the opposite. Timberwolves vs.
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