Get the best Lynx vs. Mercury predictions ahead of Sunday's critical Game 4. Free WNBA picks for September 28.
After a comfortable victory in Game 1, life has been quite troublesome for the Minnesota Lynx. They dropped Game 2 in heartbreaking fashion after squandering a 20-point lead, and they surrendered a four-point lead in Game 3 to fall behind 2-1 to the Phoenix Mercury in the semifinals.
are the favorite for the first time in this series. The Mercury battled back from fourth-quarter deficits in back-to-back contests and should be riding high heading into Sunday’s closeout contest. , but at the very least, she’ll be at less than 100% after sustaining an injury in the final seconds of Friday’s loss. Minnesota will be missing its head coach, Cheryl Reeve, as she was slapped with a suspension for her conduct at the end of that loss. Phoenix is 4-4 ATS when facing Minnesota this season, and the home team has covered in all eight head-to-head matchups. A win here will stamp the Mercury’s ticket to the Finals, but a loss will send them back to Minnesota for a winner-take-all Game 5. That’s a situation they’d surely like to avoid.Sabally had another stellar performance in Game 3, going for 24 points and nine boards, yet her combo line has moved up slightly from 21.5 to 22.5. She’s averaged 22.6 points+rebounds this season, including a 27.2 average in five matchups with Minnesota. In those five games, she’s hit the Over four times, including both matchups at PHX Arena. Thomas finished with eight triple-doubles during the regular season, and five of them came at home. In the playoffs, she’s posted one triple-double in six games and finished just three counting stats shy of that mark in three more. Thomas is the WNBA’s all-time leader in postseason triple-doubles with five, and three of them have come since 2023. With a third trip to the Finals on the line, expect the veteran to shine in front of the home crowd.The home team has covered the spread in all eight head-to-head matchups between the Lynx and Mercury this season. Find more: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links. Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved. If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
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