Mabinty Quarshie is the national politics correspondent for the Washington Examiner. Before joining the Washington Examiner, Mabinty was a national political reporter and assistant elections editor at USA Today. She holds a bachelor’s from George Mason University and a master’s in journalism from Georgetown University.
Louisiana voters head to the polls on Saturday to vote in the state's gubernatorial primary race, a contest that will likely be one of the best pickup opportunities for Republicans after eight years of Democratic control and during one of the most watched races in an off-year election cycle.
Pearson Cross, a political scientist at the University of Louisiana at Monroe, said it's likely that no candidate will emerge as the winner in the Saturday primary."Shawn Wilson has been pulling in the high 20s will probably do better than that in the actual first round, as he's the most prominent Democrat," Cross said."But at this point, it appears that Jeff Landry has a commanding lead in name recognition, in money, in advertisement, and likely in votes.
“I am endorsing your Attorney General Jeff Landry for Governor. He has been a fantastic Attorney General. He wants to stop crime. He loves the people of Louisiana just like I… pic.twitter.com/zCZZqkoIiS Cross, the political scientist, compared this year's gubernatorial races to 1995 and 1999 contests featuring a white Republican running against a black Democrat."A Republican Mike Foster faced first a black state Rep. Cleo Fields , and then in the '99 race, he faced a black congressman, William Jefferson. And in both of those races, he won handily by about a two-to-one margin," Cross said."And Louisiana has done nothing to get more Republican in the meantime.
John Couvillon, a Louisiana-based pollster and consultant, pointed to low early-voting turnout as a sign of Democratic weakness in the primary."It has been a low-wattage governor's race. Voters aren't really, really excited about this election cycle, as was evidenced by the early voting turnout being about seven to 8% lower than it was four years ago," Couvillon told the Washington Examiner.
"Shawn Wilson has a very strong, Democratic base that has stuck with him consistently since his announcement. His campaign, while relatively quiet, will be enough to put him in a solid second-place position, but it won’t be enough for to win in November," Connaughton said.
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