SA's government is in a state of disaster and the Rand won't simply recover, even if Eskom finds a way to keep the lights on.
Is the weak rand the result of the ongoing load shedding? Many South Africans are pondering this question, as the currency is hovering near multi-year lows, depreciating to its weakest level against the US dollar since late 2020, trading at around R16.70/$. At the same time South Africa is experiencing its worst load-shedding on record since last week.
The BER says in addition to further depressing already subdued South African business and consumer confidence, the move to stage 6 also soured foreign investor sentiment towards the country, and likely contributed to the slide in the Rand/Dollar exchange rate. “We also have a government that is in a state of disaster. It is falling apart and people are moving their capital out of the country as markets weaken,” he said.
“Central banks around the world are looking to rein in inflation to prevent the significant economic damage that comes with long-term higher levels of inflation, and therefore interest rates are watched closely.”How the risk of recession affects the Rand
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