The 2nd district was redrawn to give a Democratic candidate a shot at winning a congressional seat. Pundits who track House races believe that is exactly what will happen on Nov. 5.
Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District candidates Democrat Shomari Figures and Republican Caroleene Dobson faced off Thursday in a one-hour debate, streamed live on AL.com.Alabama is not a swing state, nor anywhere close to being one and Republican Donald Trump is expected to win big among the state’s voters in next week’s election over Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris.
“Certainly, if Democrats lost AL-2, it would be part of an overall bad election night for them – I’d have to imagine Republicans would be doing well overall if that happened,” he said. “As it stands now, the House appears very close and competitive.”Of the 539 “likely” Democratic races rated by Cook Political Report since 1984, only 22 have missed the mark
Figures, though, has far outpaced Dobson in fundraising in recent months and his candidacy has attracted some national Democratic figures in recent days. U.S. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, a New York Democrat, will campaign with Figures Thursday. “It’s one in which Democrats remain clearly favored, with a sizable polling lead and an obvious partisanship advantage,” said Laksyha Jain, CEO of Split Ticket. “The only way in which they would lose this seat is if Black turnout is abysmal and if Black voters also swing to the right by a non-trivial margin.
“Despite every effort by the Democrats to tilt the balance toward their side, Caroleene has built a deep and effective grassroots network, she has shown impressive fundraising prowess for a first-time candidate, and she has spoken to every voter and shaken every hand she can find in cities, towns, and crossroads throughout the district,” Dickson said.
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