NBA predictions, picks, and odds for the New York Knicks at Miami Heat on 4-2. NBA best bets and same-game parlay analysis.
The Knicks and Heat are similar in ideology, but one holds a distinct advantage in tight games, and our NBA picks are leaning on that factor for tonight's matchup.First, Jalen Brunson notched a near-record-setting 61 points, only to lose in the waning moments of overtime to the San Antonio Spurs. He then hit the go-ahead layup against the Oklahoma City Thunder, only for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to hit the actual dagger with less than two seconds on the clock.
The Heat, even at full playoff-level intensity, didn’t find a way to slow down Brunson last postseason. Unlike so many small guards in the past, the Heat couldn’t push Jalen around or knock him out of rhythm. The Heat are famous for their playoff heroics, but they have been one of the worst teams in the Association late in games this year. Miami has the second-worst fourth-quarter net rating in the NBA, and its ghastly -15.9 net rating in the clutch is fourth from worst.
Not only do opponents take a ton of above-the-break threes, they also take a huge portion of shots from the corners, which are some of the most analytically friendly shots available.has been the Knicks' most reliable outside shooter, and he’s hit four or more threes in five of his last six games. The Heat's defensive tendencies make him a strong bet to do so again on Tuesday.
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