Our Kentucky vs. Texas predictions expect the Wildcats to cover this three-touchdown spread.
Texas will win this game with relative ease, but the Longhorns' lack of urgency will open the door for Kentucky to cover.With all due respect to the Kentucky Wildcats, the Texas Longhorns have probably overlooked this game for most of the week.
the 25th-highest rate in the country. And Kentucky runs well, albeit methodically. The Wildcats stay ahead of the chains on 47.0% of their rush attempts, allowing them to churn out first downs by simply handing off the ball repeatedly. Hefty favorites tend to agree to those terms against the Wildcats. Stoops & Co. are 3-0 against the spread this year as underdogs of 15.5 or more, 5-0 since 2021 and 9-2-1 since 2016.In the three moments this season with Kentucky as a lopsided underdog like this, the Under has cashed twice. With the Wildcats going 5-0 ATS in these moments since 2021, the Under has paid four times. In the dozen total instances since 2016, the Under has cashed eight times.
As for including junior receiver Matthew Golden, it is difficult to find a wanted player prop among BetMGM’s offerings, but Golden has scored five times in the last three games — two of which were close contests.Sunday’s very first numbers listed Texas as an 18.5-point favorite, a number that jumped to -20.5 before the entire odds board had lit up. The number then held there all week.
Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off.
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