College football odds, picks and prediction for Kentucky Wildcats vs Mississippi State Bulldogs. Week 10 betting free pick and game analysis.
Mississippi State is a home underdog with some personnel uncertainty this week, but our college football betting picks have trouble placing faith in this Kentucky team. Find out which market we're attacking in this one.With their season suddenly heading in the wrong direction, the Kentucky Wildcats hope to right the ship when they hit the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday night.
Should Kentucky lose on Saturday, it would resign Stoops to a winless record against the SEC West forever. That’s because the addition of Texas and Oklahoma in 2024 will see the conference move away from divisions. Unlike typical crowd noise, the cowbells can’t be easily drowned out. They have continually caused issues for Stoops’ Kentucky teams. They make it difficult for a quarterback to set up his protection, and for an offensive line to communicate.
That’s great news for the home team. The best way for a struggling offense to get some confidence is to complete short passes, and Kentucky’s soft zone coverage has been picked apart these past few weeks. As a Kentucky fan, I hope that he can. But as a bettor, I’m not putting money on it. I’ve seen Stoops go into Starkville too many times with the better team, and have it matter not one bit. I’m definitely not falling for it again, especially with a team that hasn’t won a game since September.
To that point, we’re taking the Wildcats to score fewer than 28 points. No team in college football runs fewer offensive plays than Kentucky, but the Bulldogs run just five more per game. The Wildcats had their best all-around offensive performance of the season against Tennessee and managed just 27 points.As we’re on Mississippi State to win, I’m obviously expecting them to also cover the +5.5 on Saturday. That said, there’s serious variance in the line. The Wildcats are favored by 4.
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