Kelly Evans: Off to the races

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Kelly Evans: Off to the races
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Crypto is surging, rates are flying, and small caps are absolutely soaring today. There are so many big movers, it’s hard to keep up. The regional banks!…

Crypto is surging, rates are flying, and small caps are absolutely soaring today. There are so many big movers, it's hard to keep up. The regional banks! The KRE ETF is trading at $65!back to pre-SVB-collapse levels. Goldman Sachs is soaring 12% today--can you say deal boom, anyone?

I've been asking around and I can't even find many traders who want to fade these moves. A friend of mine asked last night, when Bitcoin was first breaking out, if it meant that a move to $100,000 by year-end could now be in play. I replied, in typical contrarian markets fashion, that these moves could be a"buy the rumor, sell the fact" kind of event. But nope--nothing like that today.see markets putting on a"red sweep" trade last week.

It just evidently didn't go far enough. Plus, we had a bit of a"Harris pullback" on Monday after the Iowa poll was released, so perhaps that reset those trades for the rally we're seeing today.The short, obvious answer is that in the long run, stocks always go up. The more tactical answer is that big breakout moves like these--especially the move in small caps today--often precede more long-lasting rallies.

And the irony is that the Fed is about to cut overnight borrowing rates again tomorrow, by a quarter-point, to just over 4.5%. Many are still convinced that at some point, longer-term rates will settle down enough to transmit these cuts more broadly throughout the economy. But the 10-year yield is now upfrom where it was the day before the Fed delivered that jumbo rate cut in September.

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