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Kamala Harris' real significance may be seen four years from now

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Kamala Harris' real significance may be seen four years from now
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Analysis: Sen. Harris could be positioned like no running mate before her for a shot at the presidency. But only if she and Joe Biden can first win this November. - stevekornacki

, Biden took the attack in stride, remained impressed with Harris and never forgot that she'd enjoyed a warm relationship with his late son Beau when he was Delaware's attorney general and she was serving in that role in California.

Of course, for all the hoopla this week, the most likely outcome is that Harris will have little or no impact on the outcome of this race. That's the reality for most V.P. picks, as voters invariably focus their attention on the candidates at the top of each ticket. Consider what happened with what was likely the biggest mismatch of vice presidential candidates in modern history: Democrat Lloyd Bentsen vs. Republican Dan Quayle in 1988. The exuberant and youthful Quayle was already considered a liability for the GOP ticket when he squared off with Bentsen in a nationally televised debate — and Bentsen walloped him with. And yet, for all of his deficiencies, it was Quayle's ticket — headed by George H.W. Bush — that rolled up 426 electoral in a landslide victory. In others words, there's only so much that a running-mate can do. The real political significance of Harris's selection may be felt in a few years — especially if she and Biden win in November. Four of the last five vice presidents who have gone on to run for the top job have at least won their party's nomination: Walter Mondale , George H.W. Bush , Al Gore and Biden. Only Quayle, who unsuccessfully sought the GOP nomination in 2000, failed. Add in the fact of Biden's age and Harris could find herself in a unique position as vice president. Instead of having to wait eight years for her shot, she could get it in the next election in 2024, if a President Biden were to decline to seek a second term at 81 years of age. Harris could be set up like no vice president before her. But only if she and Biden can first win this November.Steve Kornacki, author of"The Red and the Blue: 1990s and the Birth of Political Tribalism," is a national political correspondent for NBC News and MSNBC.

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