A lot remains still remains to be seen from the Harris campaign, but the vice president did poll better than Biden in Pa. even before she was the presumptive nominee.
Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at her campaign headquarters in Wilmington, Del., Monday, July 22, 2024. in key states or demographics, time will tell whether Harris as the party’s presumptive nominee — a historic shakeup 100-some days from the election — is swaying voters nationwide.
The Times has been tracking about 185 different polls since Biden withdrew from the race on Sunday, and these individual polls influence the Times’ national average dashboard. Only a handful of polls have been conducted since Sunday and most of them have shown Trump with a one point lead. A CNN/SSRS poll displays a 3-point national lead for Trump, while an Ipsos poll shows Harris with a 2-point lead nationwide.
It’s a similar story in Pennsylvania. In a separate poll conducted earlier this month — before the assassination attempt against Trump in Butler County, Pa., and before Biden withdrew from the race, Harris was still behind Trump by a very slim 47% to 48%, butHarris was also ahead of Trump by 5 percentage points in Virginia, where Biden was only ahead by three, according to the same poll.
In both Pennsylvania and Virginia, Harris performed slightly better than Biden in those early polls with key voter groups, like Black voters, younger voters, and women — demographics where Biden was starting to lose traction,
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