A note from Kalshi's market research team suggests the prediction market - polls gap can be explained by Harris' sliding popularity with key demographics.
A market research report from Kalshi shows that there's strong Republican momentum going into the last weeks of the campaign.
"Harris is falling in key demographics and has lost ground in every “Blue Wall” state over the past three weeks," Such wrote, pointing to Harris'With Trump's odds of winning the popular vote rising, Such observes that there's not a misprice as the odds of winning the popular vote are in line with his chances in the main election contract.
A mysterious high-stakes bettor, identified as"Fredi9999," has spent $25 million solely betting on Trump across prediction markets, according to research done by Polymarket whale 'Domer'.
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