Musk and Tesla have no ability to judge and predict the progress of their system, so that makes it a challenge to judge them even by what they do
"There is no try, only do" says Yoda the Star Wars character, so a company's actions speak louder than words. Tesla has managed to generate huge buzz around thier robotaxi efforts, even though it does not yet have a working robotaxi. It has announced many highly ambitious plans, but today, hopes don’t matter, and the main thing we can look at is what companies do, rather than say.
For all companies, the first priority of testing is to improve the quality and safety of the driving. Tesla is well positioned for that, because they have hundreds of thousands of customers driving with their FSD package, though Tesla is only able to make use of a small fraction of that huge trove of data, and now only those with newer cars can run the latest software that they want to test.
Indeed, in general, a company would not normally run a supervised robotaxi service at any scale if they didn’t feel they weren’t very far from launching a real robotaxi service. That would normaly be a bullish sign for Tesla’s internal impressions, if not for one thing.That one thing is that Elon Musk has repeatedly declared that he was “certain” or “extremely confident” that Tesla was on the verge of releasing an unsupervised self-drive system.
This is particularly the case when operating or testing with a safety driver/supervisor. A supervisor prevents mistakes by the system from causing a problem, and so from the outside, you can’t tell apart systems that have incidents every trip, ever 10 trips, every 100 trips or even every 10,000 trips Statistics to reveal where on that very long journey a system is are what the outside world needs.
Deploying supervised Robotaxi: They need to learn the realities of robotaxi, and in particular want to real-world-test the taxi-only functions that don’t get tested by ordinary drivers, such as rider interface, pick-up/drop-off, and some logistics. Employee safety drivers also will provide more useful feedback on interventions. It also gains publicity and the illusion of partly meeting the promise of launching an unsupervised robotaxi.
Self-delivery of vacant car : Shows confidence that first attempt is likely to go well, and that car can be stopped if there is an issue.
Waymo Self-Driving Robotaxi Driverless Fsd Autopilot
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