JP Morgan says US farmers are facing a crisis from trade war, downgrades Deere's stock

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JP Morgan says US farmers are facing a crisis from trade war, downgrades Deere's stock
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The state of American agriculture is 'rapidly deteriorating' into crisis, J.P. Morgan said on Tuesday.

U.S. agriculture is facing a three-pronged crisis of declining exports to the rest of the world, a poor crop of corn and soybeans and the trade war with China.Given the risks to U.S. agriculture, Deere's stock is "now skewed to the downside," Duignan said.

"Overall, this is a perfect storm for US farmers," J.P. Morgan analyst Ann Duignan said in a note to investors. "As a result of tariffs and excess global supply, US soybean export inspections are down 27%" year over year, Duignan said. She added that, at the same time, South America is having a banner year for production so "the export market is growing ever more competitive.

Domestically, "the Midwest is off to a very slow start in 2019/20," Duignan said. The "planting season [is] off to a bad start," she said, and both corn and soybean crops are far behind in "planting progress" compared to last year.Given the factors facing U.S. agriculture, Deere's stock is "now skewed to the downside," Duignan said. Her firm lowered is rating of Deere to underweight from neutral, with a price target of $132 a share, from $154 a share.

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